2014 Orleans, Napa, Kenitra, Sibiu, Pereira and Porto Alegre Challenger Previews, Picks
Chris De Waard, Tennis East Coast
A packed schedule on the Challenger tour this week. There will be two hardcourt events in France and the United States, plus four on clay, played in Morocco, Romania, Colombia and Brazil.
Open D’Orleans
ATP Challenger Tour
Orleans, France
22-28 September
Prize Money: €106,500
Seeds (ATP ranking in parentheses)
1: Philipp Kohlschreiber (24)
2: Igor Sijsling (74)
3: Jiri Vesely (78)
4: Andrey Kuznetsov (81)
5: Thomaz Bellucci (82)
6: Sergiy Stakhovsky (90)
7: Paul-Henri Mathieu (91)
8: Nicolas Mahut (93)
The last direct acceptance is Yann Marti, ranked 209th. French youngsters Laurent Lokoli and Tristan Lamasine have received wild cards. An extremely tough field, with all seeds being top 100 players.
First round match-ups to watch
(2) Igor Sijsling – Alexander Zverev
Zverev disappointed with a first round loss last week, but he can avenge himself here with a win over a top 100 player. Sijsling has been in shaky form ever since his semi-final run at Rotterdam in February, although he did push eventual finalist Joao Sousa to a third set tiebreak in the second round of Metz last week.
(6) Sergiy Stakhovsky – (WC) Tristan Lamasine
The young Frenchman has been making some waves on the clay Challenger circuit, so it will be interesting to see how he translates onto hardcourt. He had some good results in Futures event this year, but a player like Stakhovsky is obviously an entire different ball game.
Top Half
World #24 Philipp Kohlschreiber took a wild card into the event after retiring in Metz last week, so one has to assume that his injury isn’t too serious. Dustin Brown is sure to test that in the second round and take revenge for his lost third set tiebreak in Halle this year, when they went all the way to 18-16. But in this strong of a field anything can happen, he also has fellow seeds Jiri Vesely and Nicolas Mahut, in the bottom section, to compete against.
Bottom Half
Igor Sijsling leads this half, but as said he has a tough opener against new kid on the block Alexander Zverev. If he survives that Kenny De Schepper awaits, so it remains to be seen if he even makes the quarterfinal. #7 seed Paul-Henri Mathieu had a good showing in Metz last week, where he choked painfully to Joao Sousa in the quarterfinal (missed 4 MP), who beat Sijsling the round before.
Predictions
Semis:
Kohlschreiber > Mahut
Mathieu > Sijsling
Final:
Kohlschreiber > Mathieu
If Kohlschreiber is fit he should be able to keep up his #1 seed, even though the road to the title is sure to be a tough one with Brown, Stakhovsky, Mahut and Mathieu on his way. Regardless of Kohlschreiber’s superior ranking it would be no surprise if he falls to one of them. One thing is sure, this tournament is bound to provide us with a lot of high quality matches.
Napa Valley Challenger
ATP Challenger Tour
Napa, CA, USA
20-28 September
Prize Money: $50,000
Seeds (ATP ranking in parentheses)
1: Sam Querrey (52)
2: Tim Smyczek (102)
3: Marcos Baghdatis (107)
4: Bradley Klahn (118)
5: Peter Polansky (122)
6: Michael Russell (124)
7: Denis Kudla (125)
8: Frank Dancevic (147)
The last direct acceptance is Bjorn Fratangelo, ranked 348th.
First round match-ups to watch
James McGee – Elias Ymer
This will be McGee’s first tournament since his great US Open, where he managed to qualify for his first Grand Slam. He takes on 18 year old Ymer, who is having a breakthrough season of himself, starting the year outside of the top 750 and now is ranked inside of the top 250.
(4) Bradley Klahn – Wayne Odesnik
A tough draw for Klahn against the veteran. Last year’s encounter between the two at Aptos ended in a 7-5 4-6 6-2 victory for Klahn, so he surely will be warned for what is waiting for him in this match. Odesnik has been performing well at American hardcourt Challengers, with a semi-final and a final at respectively Lexington and Binghamton in July.
Top Half
On one hand you would say that Querrey should definitely win this. On the other he is prone to random losses and tight matches against a wide variety of players. However, he has an overwhelming head to head advantage of 7-0 against the other seed in his quarter, Michael Russell, so it would be very surprising if he lost to him. Marcos Baghdatis won back to back Challengers before retiring at the US Open against Marin Cilic in the first round, so if he is healthy again he could pose a major threat.
Bottom Half
This half is dominated by Northern Americans, with Tim Smyczek, Bradley Klahn, Denia Kudla and Frank Dancevic being the seeded players. Along with them you have guys like Wayne Odesnik, Ryan Harrison and Robby Ginepri who are all well capable of making a deep run. It’s pretty much impossible to make an accurate prediction since they’re all so close to each other, it really will come down to their form of the day more than ever.
Predictions
Semis:
Querrey > Baghdatis
Harrison > Ginepri
Final:
Querrey > Harrison
Harrison really needs to regroup after bombing at the main level this year and struggling with injury, he surely has the potential to do so. Querrey leads the head to head against Baghdatis 3-0, two of them very close however, and I see him as the favorite against Harrison as well. Yes, Harrison beat him at straight sets in Auckland almost three years ago, but that was a different Harrison.
Morocco Tennis Tour Kenitra
ATP Challenger Tour
Kenitra, Morocco
22-27 September
Prize Money: €42,500
Seeds (ATP ranking in parentheses)
1: Albert Ramos-Vinolas (71)
2: Damir Dzumhur (115)
3: Daniel Gimeno-Traver (135)
4: Aljaz Bedene (144)
5: Adrian Menendez-Maceiras (160)
6: Matteo Viola (182)
7: Lucas Pouille (199)
8: Ruben Ramirez Hidalgo (213)
The last direct acceptance is Inigo Cervantes, ranked 297th.
First round match-ups to watch
(7) Lucas Pouille – Henri Laaksonen
Pouille comes off a great week at the previous Moroccan Challenger in Meknes, where he reached the final, in which he lost to Kimmer Coppejans in three sets. He isn’t used to playing that much tennis, so perhaps Laaksonen can take advantage here if Pouille is suffering from tiredness.
Top Half
Top seed Albert Ramos-Vinolas should be marked a clear favorite here. He lost in the final of the Banja Luka Challenger two weeks ago and lost in the second round in Meknes last week, but that was against Matteo Viola, who is in great form. Pouille is in his quarter and Coppejans in his half, so if they can continue their forms of last week he will have tough competition. If they’re tired and can’t back it up he might cruise all the way to the final.
Bottom Half
#3 seed Daniel Gimeno-Traver has been in bad form lately, but he has a good draw here and should create some momentum for himself by reaching the semi-final at the very least. There he will most likely face in form Matteo Viola or second seed Damir Dzumhur. Dzumhur trashed Viola 6-1 6-2 earlier this year, so against him and a slumping Gimeno-Traver he should be the favorite to reach the final.
Predictions
Semis:
Ramos-Vinolas > Bedene
Dzumhur > Gimeno-Traver
Final:
Ramos-Vinolas > Dzumhur
Sibiu Open 2014
ATP Challenger Tour
Sibiu, Romania
22-28 September
Prize Money: €42,500
Seeds (ATP ranking in parentheses)
1: Blaz Rola (85)
2: Albert Montanes (110)
3: Pere Riba (112)
4: Adrian Ungur (132)
5: Victor Hanescu (139)
6: Marton Fucsovics (142)
7: Potito Starace (149)
8: Marco Cecchinato (151)
The last direct acceptance is Tomislav Brkic, ranked 294th.
First round match-ups to watch
(4) Adrian Ungur – Andrea Arnaboldi
The high seeded player might be in danger here. The last time the two met on Moroccan clay, in 2010, Arnaboldi took the match in three sets: 2-6 6-2 6-4. He nearly beat Viola during his run to the Biella title, so it looks like Arnaboldi is recovering some form after his losing streak before.
Jaroslav Pospisil – Marius Copil
33 year old Pospisil has been stringing some good results together in his latest clay Challenger appearances, reaching two semi-finals and a quarterfinal. In the mean time Copil just can’t seem to force the breakthrough a lot of people were predicting him to make, although he did hammer Elias Ymer in straight sets at their Davis Cup tie last week.
Top Half
It’s hard to look past top seed Blaz Rola here, although he has a very tricky draw with Radu Albot in the first round, who reached the semi-final at Trnava last week, where he lost in three sets to the eventual winner Andreas Haider-Maurer. #3 seed Pere Riba has been slumping and might be taken out by veteran Filippo Volandri in the second round. Marco Cecchinato is my pick to advance to the semi-final from that section.
Bottom Half
The players who have the best chance to reach the final are all in the bottom section. Albert Montanes, Antonio Veic and Marton Fucsovics should all be able to beat the threats coming from the bottom section, Potito Starace, Andrea Arnaboldi and Adrian Ungur.
Predictions
Semis:
Rola > Cecchinato
Fucsovics > Starace
Final:
Rola > Fucsovics
Seguros Bolivar Open
ATP Challenger Tour
Pereira, Colombia
22-28 September
Prize Money: $40,000
Seeds (ATP ranking in parentheses)
1: Victor Estrella Burgos (72)
2: Alejandro Falla (75)
3: Paolo Lorenzi (79)
4: Alejandro Gonzalez (89)
5: Joao Sousa (109)
6: Horacio Zeballos (114)
7: Guido Pella (158)
8: Austin Krajicek (164)
The last direct acceptance is Theodoros Angelinos, ranked 361st.
First round match-ups to watch
(8) Austin Krajicek – Gonzalo Lama
Krajicek is back in Colombia after surprising everyone by winning the Medellin Challenger on clay three weeks ago. He faces Lama, who did pretty well himself there by reaching the quarterfinal. It will be interesting to see if Krajicek can repeat his form and make another deep run here.
Top Half
Estrella Burgos disappointed last week with a loss against low ranked Gonzalo Escobar after missing several match points. He now faces Nicolas Jarry in the first round, who reached the final at the same tournament. Given Estrella Burgos’ shaky last tournament I would favor fourth seed Alejandro Gonzalez to get out of this half and quite possibly go all the way in his home country, as long as he doesn’t face his nightmare match-up Paolo Lorenzi in the final.
Bottom Half
#4 seed Horacio Zeballos comes off a tournament win at Quito last week, but given his dodgy fitness as of late it remains to be seen if he will handle playing back to back tournaments well. #2 seed Alejandro Falla isn’t playing on his best surface, so this might be an opportunity for the other two seeds, who are both in the top section: Joao Souza and Paolo Lorenzi.
Predictions
Semis:
Gonzalez > Estrella Burgos
Lorenzi > Zeballos
Final:
Lorenzi > Gonzalez
Lorenzi absolutely dominates the head to head against Gonzalez, not having dropped a set in four meetings. This includes two meetings on clay this year: 6-4 6-2 and 6-2 6-1.
Aberto de Tenis do Rio Grande do Sul
ATP Challenger Tour
Porto Alegre, Brazil
22-28 September
Prize Money: $40,000
Seeds (ATP ranking in parentheses)
1: Carlos Berlocq (67)
2: Diego Schwartzman (98)
3: Facundo Bagnis (116)
4: Facundo Arguello (117)
5: Gastao Elias (137)
6: Guido Andreozzi (171)
7: Axel Michon (181)
8: Guilherme Clezar (191)
The last direct acceptance is Fabiano De Paula, ranked 385th.
First round match-ups to watch
(4) Facundo Arguello – Andre Ghem
Arguello disappointed with a second round loss this week in Campinas, while Ghem surprised and went all the way to the final, where he lost to Diego Schwartzman. Ghem is having an amazing last couple of tournaments, going from outside of the top 250 to close to the top 150, all at the age of 32. If he keeps his form the #4 seed is in trouble here.
Top Half
#1 seed Carlos Berlocq is the clear cut favorite here and I can’t see anyone getting close to him. Maybe in the final someone like Ghem or Schwartzman can push him, but otherwise this seems like a breeze for the Argentinian veteran. #8 seed Guilherme Clezar is a good pick to upset #3 seed Facundo Bagnis for the other semi-final spot, Clezar has won their past two meetings in straight sets, both last year.
Bottom Half
Like I said above, I see Ghem and Schwartzman making it to the SF again, after battling it out in the final of Campinas last week. Given their respective ages you would say Schwartzman can handle the back to back deep runs a bit better, so I see no reason why the result would be any different here.
Predictions
Semis:
Berlocq > Clezar
Schwartzman > Ghem
Final:
Berlocq > Schwartzman
Berlocq is simply the big favorite to win this tournament, after which we will surely be treated to one of his trademark shirt rippings.
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